Horizon Scanning

How can we build anticipatory capacity in the Indonesian government?

UNGP Finland and UNGP Jakarta in cooperation with the Indonesian Ministry of National Development Planning (Bappenas)

What

A horizon scan training for policy planners in Bappenas on the future of Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs). This training included the development of a Horizon Scanning Manual, check-in and feedback sessions with foresight experts, and multiple workshops to validate the results with a broader group of stakeholders. The project culminated in a final report highlighting emerging trends in Indonesia’s future business landscape and contributed to Indonesia’s National Long-Term Development Plan 2025–2045. The successful outcome helped embed foresight as a tool in their policy-planning processes.

Why

MSMEs form the backbone of the Indonesian economy and are a key driver of future economic growth. The COVID-19 pandemic, geopolitical conflicts and climate change have severely impacted these businesses, underscoring the need for policymakers to become more forward-looking.

Key Lessons

  • Buy-in from senior management is essential for a successful implementation of a new foresight process.
  • Establishing a new horizon scanning team is an iterative process and requires responsive feedback loops.
  • Engaging a broader group of stakeholders in a participatory way enhances the identification and validation of drivers.

Cookies Policy

By accessing UNGP’s website, certain information about the user, such as internet protocol addresses, navigation through the site, the software used and the time spent, along with other similar information, will be stored on our servers. These will not specifically identify the user. The information will be used internally only for web site traffic analysis.

The United Nations, however, assumes no responsibility for the security of this information.