2x2 Matrix: Scenario Building

A toolkit to develop future stories
UNGP - Foresight Initiative

What is it?

This tool is used to create plausible alternative stories about the future. The 2×2 matrix is a straightforward scenario-building methodology to draft four different scenarios based on two key uncertainties. This toolkit contains a facilitation guide, a participant handout and a workshop template to run your workshop.

Use it to

  • Explore different ways the future might unfold
  • Introduce participants to scenario thinking 
  • Build upon the driver mapping exercise


Adaptation from Scenario Building: The 2×2 Matrix Technique by Alun Rhydderch

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