Futures Wheel

A tool to explore possible implications
UNGP - Foresight Initiative

What is it?

This tool is a graphic visualisation of direct and indirect future consequences of a particular driver, event or issue. It is a structured brainstorming on chains of “if, then” statements. It helps move from isolated signals and possibilities to more complex forecasts about possible futures.

Use it to

  • Transform specific observations into robust chains of statements
  • Organise thinking and questioning about the future
  • Visualise complex relationships between events
  • Deepen your understanding of a driver after the horizon scanning process


Adaptation from Jerome C. Glenn (1994) from The Millennium Project

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